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IFO, ISTAT, KOF: Euro area economy set to grow strongly

Written Mario Blascak, PhD | 2018-01-10 04:19:26 GMT

Inflation will fall from 1.4% in the last quarter of 2017 to 1.2%in the first quarter of 2018. The reason for deceleration is statistical as the base effect of higher energy and food prices last winter come into the count. The research institutes expect inflation to return to 1.4% in the second quarter of 2018. The forecast is based on a Brent price of 67 US Dollars per barrel and an exchange rate of USD 1.20 against the euro.

The fragile banking sectors of many countries, saddled with high levels of non-performing loans, remain a risk but have recently shown signs of stabilizing. Very strong sentiment on the part of companies, consumers, and the financial markets may have a positive impact.

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Mario Blascak, PhD
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